A down day in the markets and a down day in the number of stocks analyzed today. Due to the unavailability of data at the time of publishing of almost 200 securities, the analysis will be restricted to 503 securities.
Of the 503 stocks analyzed on the S&P 500 and TSE, 90 advanced, 410 declined and the remaining 3 were unavailable for comment. A lot of activity today. Everyone and their grandmother was selling. Selling so much so that trading volumes went up almost 11% since Friday. This probably explains the unavailability of data due to everyone continue to click the sell button in their web broker account.
Today’s report highlights all of the stocks that made a Bullish Centerline Crossover with respect to RSI and have trading volume of more than 1.75 Million.
Highlighting: HASBRO INC (NYSE:HAS), MCAFEE, INC (NYSE:MFE), NORTHROP GRUM HOL CO (NYSE:NOC), Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX), RADIOSHACK CORP (NYSE:RSH)
| HASBRO INC (HAS) | ||||||||
| 28.19 | + 0.16 (0.57%) | |||||||
| Support 2 | Support 1 | Pivot Point | Resistance 1 | Resistance 2 | ||||
| 27.76 | 27.97 | 28.35 | 28.56 | 28.94 | ||||
| Support & Resistance Analysis | Neutral | |||||||
| MACD Analysis | Positive/Decreasing | MACD | ||||||
| MACD vs. Signal | Below/Widening | 0.142 | ||||||
| RSI Analysis | Bullish Centerline Crossover | RSI | ||||||
| Stochastic (Fast) Analysis | Neutral | 51.364 | ||||||
| 50-Day MA Analysis | Above 50-Day MA | %K (fast) | ||||||
| 200-Day MA Analysis | Above 200-Day MA | 33.745 | ||||||
| Critical Level Analysis | ||||||||
| HASBRO INC (HAS) Seasonality | ||||||||
| Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of October 20 and a sell date of June 1, investors have benefited from a total return of 234.48% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 5 of those periods. | ||||||||
| Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of February 9 and a sell date of April 6, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 137.25% with positive results in 9 of those periods. | ||||||||
| The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was 78.42%. | ||||||||
| News Headlines for HASBRO INC (HAS) | ||||||||
[$$] Building a Lean, Mean Value Machine (at Barrons.com) - Sat, 13 Mar 2010 1-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Brunswick? (at Motley Fool) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010 Lessons From Meg Whitman's Mom (at Forbes.com) - Thu, 11 Mar 2010 |
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| MCAFEE, INC (MFE) | ||||||||
| 44.15 | + 0.42 (0.96%) | |||||||
| Support 2 | Support 1 | Pivot Point | Resistance 1 | Resistance 2 | ||||
| 43.28 | 43.71 | 44.22 | 44.65 | 45.16 | ||||
| Support & Resistance Analysis | Neutral | |||||||
| MACD Analysis | Positive/Decreasing | MACD | ||||||
| MACD vs. Signal | Below/Widening | 0.515 | ||||||
| RSI Analysis | Bullish Centerline Crossover | RSI | ||||||
| Stochastic (Fast) Analysis | Neutral | 52.263 | ||||||
| 50-Day MA Analysis | Above 50-Day MA | %K (fast) | ||||||
| 200-Day MA Analysis | Above 200-Day MA | 28.505 | ||||||
| Critical Level Analysis | ||||||||
| MCAFEE, INC (MFE) Seasonality | ||||||||
| Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of April 14 and a sell date of November 17, investors have benefited from a total return of 984.89% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 7 of those periods. | ||||||||
| Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of March 2 and a sell date of March 9, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 54.8% with positive results in 10 of those periods. | ||||||||
| The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was 150.57%. | ||||||||
| News Headlines for MCAFEE, INC (MFE) | ||||||||
Whirlpool, Zumiez, LTX-Credence are big movers (AP) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010 Digital River stock jumps on analyst report (at bizjournals.com) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010 Cyber Wars: Arm For The Coming Battle? (at CNBC) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010 |
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| NORTHROP GRUM HOL CO (NOC) | ||||||||
| 50.64 | + 0.98 (1.97%) | |||||||
| Support 2 | Support 1 | Pivot Point | Resistance 1 | Resistance 2 | ||||
| 49.07 | 49.86 | 50.50 | 51.29 | 51.93 | ||||
| Support & Resistance Analysis | Broke Lwr Resistance (1) | |||||||
| MACD Analysis | Positive/Increasing | MACD | ||||||
| MACD vs. Signal | Below/Thinning | 0.043 | ||||||
| RSI Analysis | Bullish Centerline Crossover | RSI | ||||||
| Stochastic (Fast) Analysis | Bullish Crossover | 52.294 | ||||||
| 50-Day MA Analysis | Above 50-Day MA | %K (fast) | ||||||
| 200-Day MA Analysis | Above 200-Day MA | 55.319 | ||||||
| Critical Level Analysis | ||||||||
| NORTHROP GRUM HOL CO (NOC) Seasonality | ||||||||
| Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of November 17 and a sell date of September 21, investors have benefited from a total return of 480.86% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 8 of those periods. | ||||||||
| Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of November 17 and a sell date of September 14, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 374.12% with positive results in 9 of those periods. | ||||||||
| The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was 134.77%. | ||||||||
| News Headlines for NORTHROP GRUM HOL CO (NOC) | ||||||||
[$$] As Stocks Hit a New High, Investors Shrug (at Barrons.com) - Sat, 13 Mar 2010 [$$] Sarkozy Criticizes U.S. on Tanker Deal (at The Wall Street Journal Online) - Sat, 13 Mar 2010 UPDATE - US arms buyer rejects protectionism charge (at Reuters) - Sat, 13 Mar 2010 |
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| Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) | ||||||||
| 29.2 | + 0.68 (2.38%) | |||||||
| Support 2 | Support 1 | Pivot Point | Resistance 1 | Resistance 2 | ||||
| 28.18 | 28.69 | 29.03 | 29.54 | 29.88 | ||||
| Support & Resistance Analysis | Broke Upr Resistance (2) | |||||||
| MACD Analysis | Positive/Increasing | MACD | ||||||
| MACD vs. Signal | Below/Thinning | 0.046 | ||||||
| RSI Analysis | Bullish Centerline Crossover | RSI | ||||||
| Stochastic (Fast) Analysis | Increasingly Overbought | 55.894 | ||||||
| 50-Day MA Analysis | Above 50-Day MA | %K (fast) | ||||||
| 200-Day MA Analysis | Above 200-Day MA | 84.685 | ||||||
| Critical Level Analysis | ||||||||
| Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) Seasonality | ||||||||
| Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of February 4 and a sell date of November 24, investors have benefited from a total return of 313.6% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 5 of those periods. | ||||||||
| Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of September 29 and a sell date of November 3, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 111.57% with positive results in 9 of those periods. | ||||||||
| The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was 36.32%. | ||||||||
| News Headlines for Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) | ||||||||
[$$] Bulls Seize on eBay, Paychex (at The Wall Street Journal Online) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010 Barnstorming Into Best Buy And Potash (at Forbes.com) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010 Paychex: Small Businesses Can Save with Bundled Services (Business Wire) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010 |
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| RADIOSHACK CORP (RSH) | ||||||||
| 18.15 | + 2.49 (15.9%) | |||||||
| Support 2 | Support 1 | Pivot Point | Resistance 1 | Resistance 2 | ||||
| 14.71 | 16.43 | 17.38 | 19.10 | 20.05 | ||||
| Support & Resistance Analysis | Broke Upr Resistance (2) | |||||||
| MACD Analysis | Bullish Centreline Crossover | MACD | ||||||
| MACD vs. Signal | Bullish MA Crossover | 0.078 | ||||||
| RSI Analysis | Bullish Centerline Crossover | RSI | ||||||
| Stochastic (Fast) Analysis | Increasingly Overbought | 69.859 | ||||||
| 50-Day MA Analysis | Above 50-Day MA | %K (fast) | ||||||
| 200-Day MA Analysis | Above 200-Day MA | 94.872 | ||||||
| Critical Level Analysis | Broke Above Previous Trend | |||||||
| RADIOSHACK CORP (RSH) Seasonality | ||||||||
| Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of March 9 and a sell date of April 27, investors have benefited from a total return of 128.58% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 6 of those periods. | ||||||||
| Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of March 16 and a sell date of March 30, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 53.78% with positive results in 9 of those periods. | ||||||||
| The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was -65%. | ||||||||
| News Headlines for RADIOSHACK CORP (RSH) | ||||||||
UPDATE - Supervalu shares jump amid leveraged buyout rumors (at Reuters) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010 RadioShack to stay in Fort Worth (at bizjournals.com) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010 Radio Shack: Deutsche Bank Says LBO Math Could Work (at Barrons.com) - Thu, 11 Mar 2010 |
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| Tech Talk – By The Numbers is a supplement to current offerings from TimingTheMarket.ca and will be offered by Mr. Vialoux following each trading day. | ||||||||
| Disclosure: Mr. Vialoux does not own securities mentioned in this report. | ||||||||
| Disclaimer: Comments and opinions offered in this report at www.timingthemarket.ca are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. | ||||||||
| Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed. | ||||||||
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Tags - Previous posts for stock ticker: HAS, MFE, NOC, PAYX, RSH
October 27th, 2009 at 2:15 pm
Hi Jon
NORTHROP dates are confusing.It shows for 11 months.
Please check and confirm these two BUY/SELL DATES.
Thanks
NG
October 27th, 2009 at 4:05 pm
Hi Nirmal,
The dates are indeed correct. Essentially the criteria to determine the periods of strength is that the SELL date must be within one year from the BUY date. So if you had a stock that was continuously advancing and never declined, the analysis would more or less reveal a BUY and SELL date 365 days apart, implying a “Buy and Hold” investment.
What the analysis for NOC is stating is to NOT hold it between the end of September and the middle of November as history has shown that this is a period of weakness, so much so that if you held it long over the entire 10-year period you would have lost out on 300%+ worth of returns. This is definitely further evidence that “Buy and Hold” doesn’t work.
I opened up the time range to a 20-year analysis and it revealed approximately the same dates. The max. return under the max. number of periods did tighten up, however, revealing a BUY date of December 22 and a SELL date of August 31, producing a return of 1957.11%, positive in 18 of the 20 periods.