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Hasbro Inc, McAfee Inc, RadioShack Corp – By The Numbers

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A down day in the markets and a down day in the number of stocks analyzed today.   Due to the unavailability of data at the time of publishing of almost 200 securities, the analysis will be restricted to 503 securities.

Of the 503 stocks analyzed on the S&P 500 and TSE, 90 advanced, 410 declined and the remaining 3 were unavailable for comment.   A lot of activity today.   Everyone and their grandmother was selling.   Selling so much so that trading volumes went up almost 11% since Friday.   This probably explains the unavailability of data due to everyone continue to click the sell button in their web broker account.

Today’s report highlights all of the stocks that made a Bullish Centerline Crossover with respect to RSI and have trading volume of more than 1.75 Million.

Highlighting: HASBRO INC (NYSE:HAS), MCAFEE, INC (NYSE:MFE), NORTHROP GRUM HOL CO (NYSE:NOC), Paychex, Inc. (NASDAQ:PAYX), RADIOSHACK CORP (NYSE:RSH)

HASBRO INC (HAS)
28.19 + 0.16 (0.57%)
Support 2 Support 1 Pivot Point Resistance 1 Resistance 2
27.76 27.97 28.35 28.56 28.94
Support & Resistance Analysis Neutral  
MACD Analysis   Positive/Decreasing MACD
MACD vs. Signal Below/Widening 0.142
RSI Analysis   Bullish Centerline Crossover RSI
Stochastic (Fast) Analysis Neutral   51.364
50-Day MA Analysis Above 50-Day MA %K (fast)
200-Day MA Analysis Above 200-Day MA 33.745
Critical Level Analysis    
HASBRO INC (HAS) Seasonality
Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of October 20 and a sell date of June 1, investors have benefited from a total return of 234.48% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 5 of those periods.
Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of February 9 and a sell date of April 6, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 137.25% with positive results in 9 of those periods.
The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was 78.42%.
News Headlines for HASBRO INC (HAS)

[$$] Building a Lean, Mean Value Machine (at Barrons.com) - Sat, 13 Mar 2010
Building a Lean, Mean Value Machine A Q&A WITH STEVEN GORHAM AND NEVIN CHITKARA: What the stewards of the MFS Value Fund like about Lockheed, Philip Morris, and Hasbro.

1-Star Stocks Poised to Plunge: Brunswick? (at Motley Fool) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010

Lessons From Meg Whitman's Mom (at Forbes.com) - Thu, 11 Mar 2010

MCAFEE, INC (MFE)
44.15 + 0.42 (0.96%)
Support 2 Support 1 Pivot Point Resistance 1 Resistance 2
43.28 43.71 44.22 44.65 45.16
Support & Resistance Analysis Neutral  
MACD Analysis   Positive/Decreasing MACD
MACD vs. Signal Below/Widening 0.515
RSI Analysis   Bullish Centerline Crossover RSI
Stochastic (Fast) Analysis Neutral   52.263
50-Day MA Analysis Above 50-Day MA %K (fast)
200-Day MA Analysis Above 200-Day MA 28.505
Critical Level Analysis    
MCAFEE, INC (MFE) Seasonality
Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of April 14 and a sell date of November 17, investors have benefited from a total return of 984.89% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 7 of those periods.
Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of March 2 and a sell date of March 9, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 54.8% with positive results in 10 of those periods.
The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was 150.57%.
News Headlines for MCAFEE, INC (MFE)

Whirlpool, Zumiez, LTX-Credence are big movers (AP) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010
Stocks that moved substantially or traded heavily Friday on the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq Stock Market: NYSE:

Digital River stock jumps on analyst report (at bizjournals.com) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010

Cyber Wars: Arm For The Coming Battle? (at CNBC) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010
Remember the Reagan-era Star Wars threat. Well it's nothing compared to the Cyber Wars threat were facing now.

NORTHROP GRUM HOL CO (NOC)
50.64 + 0.98 (1.97%)
Support 2 Support 1 Pivot Point Resistance 1 Resistance 2
49.07 49.86 50.50 51.29 51.93
Support & Resistance Analysis Broke Lwr Resistance (1)
MACD Analysis   Positive/Increasing MACD
MACD vs. Signal Below/Thinning 0.043
RSI Analysis   Bullish Centerline Crossover RSI
Stochastic (Fast) Analysis Bullish Crossover 52.294
50-Day MA Analysis Above 50-Day MA %K (fast)
200-Day MA Analysis Above 200-Day MA 55.319
Critical Level Analysis    
NORTHROP GRUM HOL CO (NOC) Seasonality
Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of November 17 and a sell date of September 21, investors have benefited from a total return of 480.86% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 8 of those periods.
Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of November 17 and a sell date of September 14, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 374.12% with positive results in 9 of those periods.
The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was 134.77%.
News Headlines for NORTHROP GRUM HOL CO (NOC)

[$$] As Stocks Hit a New High, Investors Shrug (at Barrons.com) - Sat, 13 Mar 2010
As Stocks Hit a New High, Investors Shrug Major indexes grab new highs. But why the lackadaisical volume?

[$$] Sarkozy Criticizes U.S. on Tanker Deal (at The Wall Street Journal Online) - Sat, 13 Mar 2010

UPDATE - US arms buyer rejects protectionism charge (at Reuters) - Sat, 13 Mar 2010

Paychex, Inc. (PAYX)
29.2 + 0.68 (2.38%)
Support 2 Support 1 Pivot Point Resistance 1 Resistance 2
28.18 28.69 29.03 29.54 29.88
Support & Resistance Analysis Broke Upr Resistance (2)
MACD Analysis   Positive/Increasing MACD
MACD vs. Signal Below/Thinning 0.046
RSI Analysis   Bullish Centerline Crossover RSI
Stochastic (Fast) Analysis Increasingly Overbought 55.894
50-Day MA Analysis Above 50-Day MA %K (fast)
200-Day MA Analysis Above 200-Day MA 84.685
Critical Level Analysis    
Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) Seasonality
Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of February 4 and a sell date of November 24, investors have benefited from a total return of 313.6% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 5 of those periods.
Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of September 29 and a sell date of November 3, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 111.57% with positive results in 9 of those periods.
The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was 36.32%.
News Headlines for Paychex, Inc. (PAYX)

[$$] Bulls Seize on eBay, Paychex (at The Wall Street Journal Online) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010

Barnstorming Into Best Buy And Potash (at Forbes.com) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010

Paychex: Small Businesses Can Save with Bundled Services (Business Wire) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010
ROCHESTER, N.Y.----Small businesses can gain significant benefits by using one source for payroll processing and 401 administration, according to a new white paper issued by Paychex, Inc.

RADIOSHACK CORP (RSH)
18.15 + 2.49 (15.9%)
Support 2 Support 1 Pivot Point Resistance 1 Resistance 2
14.71 16.43 17.38 19.10 20.05
Support & Resistance Analysis Broke Upr Resistance (2)
MACD Analysis   Bullish Centreline Crossover MACD
MACD vs. Signal Bullish MA Crossover 0.078
RSI Analysis   Bullish Centerline Crossover RSI
Stochastic (Fast) Analysis Increasingly Overbought 69.859
50-Day MA Analysis Above 50-Day MA %K (fast)
200-Day MA Analysis Above 200-Day MA 94.872
Critical Level Analysis Broke Above Previous Trend
RADIOSHACK CORP (RSH) Seasonality
Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of March 9 and a sell date of April 27, investors have benefited from a total return of 128.58% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 6 of those periods.
Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of March 16 and a sell date of March 30, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 53.78% with positive results in 9 of those periods.
The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was -65%.
News Headlines for RADIOSHACK CORP (RSH)

UPDATE - Supervalu shares jump amid leveraged buyout rumors (at Reuters) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010

RadioShack to stay in Fort Worth (at bizjournals.com) - Fri, 12 Mar 2010

Radio Shack: Deutsche Bank Says LBO Math Could Work (at Barrons.com) - Thu, 11 Mar 2010

Tech Talk – By The Numbers is a supplement to current offerings from TimingTheMarket.ca and will be offered by Mr. Vialoux following each trading day.
Disclosure: Mr. Vialoux does not own securities mentioned in this report.
Disclaimer: Comments and opinions offered in this report at www.timingthemarket.ca are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.
Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.

 

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2 Responses to “Hasbro Inc, McAfee Inc, RadioShack Corp – By The Numbers”

  1. Nirmal Ghosh Says:

    Hi Jon

    NORTHROP dates are confusing.It shows for 11 months.
    Please check and confirm these two BUY/SELL DATES.

    Thanks
    NG

  2. Tech Talk Says:

    Hi Nirmal,
    The dates are indeed correct. Essentially the criteria to determine the periods of strength is that the SELL date must be within one year from the BUY date. So if you had a stock that was continuously advancing and never declined, the analysis would more or less reveal a BUY and SELL date 365 days apart, implying a “Buy and Hold” investment.

    What the analysis for NOC is stating is to NOT hold it between the end of September and the middle of November as history has shown that this is a period of weakness, so much so that if you held it long over the entire 10-year period you would have lost out on 300%+ worth of returns. This is definitely further evidence that “Buy and Hold” doesn’t work.

    I opened up the time range to a 20-year analysis and it revealed approximately the same dates. The max. return under the max. number of periods did tighten up, however, revealing a BUY date of December 22 and a SELL date of August 31, producing a return of 1957.11%, positive in 18 of the 20 periods.

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