Pre-opening Comments for Friday March 11th
U.S. equity index futures were higher this morning. S&P 500 futures were up 45 points in pre-opening trade.
The Canadian Dollar added 0.23 to US78.54 cents following release of Canada’s February Employment Report at 8:30 AM EST. Consensus was a drop in the February Unemployment Rate to 6.2% from 6.5% in January. Actual was a drop to 5.5%. Consensus was an increase in February employment was an increase of 127,000. Actual was an increase of 336,600.
DocuSign dropped $16.69 to $77.20 after the company lowered first quarter revenue and earnings guidance.
Oracle slipped $0.35 to $76.30 after third quarter earnings came in less than consensus.
Colgate added $0.69 to $74.53 after the company announced a $5 billion share buyback program
Ulta Beauty advanced $4.63 to $384.00 after reporting higher than consensus fourth quarter earnings. The company also announced a $2 billion share buyback program.
EquityClock’s Daily Comment
Following is a link:
http://www.equityclock.com/2022/03/10/stock-market-outlook-for-march-11-2022/
Market Bottom in March?
Stock Chart guest Jonathan Krinsky, CMT of BTIG shows how market weakness through February often leads to a bottom in March.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kj1tLGXcViU
Technical Notes released yesterday at
Buying exhaustion becoming apparent in some of this quarter’s favored bets. equityclock.com/2022/03/08/… $XME $XOP $GDX $GLD $XLP $XLU $XLV
Despite another test of resistance on Wednesday, the action on the session was highly encouraging, enough for us to put some of our cash hoard back to work. equityclock.com/2022/03/09/… $SPX $SPY $ES_F
Long term U.S. Treasury ETF $TLT moved below $134.33 extending an intermediate downtrend.
Shanghai Composite $SSEC and related ETFs $CQQQ $FXI have broken long term support levels setting long term downtrends.
Coca Cola $KO a Dow Jones Industrial Average stock moved below $59.28 and $58.57 setting an intermediate downtrend.
NetEase $NTES a NASDAQ 100 stock moved below $77.60 extending an intermediate downtrend.
TCOM $TCOM a NASDAQ 100 stock moved below $21.40 extending an intermediate downtrend
Twenty First Century $FOXA an S&P 100 stock moved below $39.65 completing a double top pattern.
Hudbay Minerals $HBM.CA a major base metals producer moved above Cdn$10.67 extending an intermediate uptrend. Seasonal influences are favourable to early May. If a subscriber to EquityClock, see seasonality chart at https://charts.equityclock.com/hudbay-minerals-inc-tsehbm-seasonal-chart
Trader’s Corner
Equity Indices and Related ETFs
Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for March 10th 2022
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Commodities
Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for March 10th 2022
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Sectors
Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for March 10th 2021
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
All seasonality ratings are based on performance relative to the S&P 500 Index (except TSX)
S&P 500 Momentum Barometers
The intermediate barometer added 0.80 to 29.46 yesterday. It remains Oversold.
Long term barometer slipped 0.20 to 39.68 yesterday. It remains Oversold.
TSX Momentum Barometers
The intermediate barometer slipped 0.60 to 61.84 yesterday. It remains Overbought.
The long term barometer added 0.71 to 63.16 yesterday. It remains Overbought.
Disclaimer: Seasonality and technical ratings offered in this report and at
www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed
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March 11th, 2022 at 10:52 am
“”” Jayson Says:
March 10th, 2022 at 4:14 pm
Thank you everyone for your posts during this challenging time. Rising rates aside, if bonds are opposite of stocks, any thoughts on trading XBB.to, TLT or AGG? Wondering if charts work given low volumes. Trying to find ways of making money.”””
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Hi Jayson,
Warning!… this response may or may not make any sense with timing these markets.
Looking at charts you might try to guess the trend, or maybe that is impossible. It appears that recently, bonds are not the opposite of “all” stocks. Many stocks have been going down with bonds, and because of bonds.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=XBB.TO&p=W&yr=1&mn=4&dy=0&id=p27710191492
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=TLT&p=W&yr=1&mn=4&dy=0&id=p27710191492
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=AGG&p=W&yr=1&mn=4&dy=0&id=p27710191492
March 11th, 2022 at 11:53 am
ROL Lew. Thank you for these charts -they make much more sense than these markets do :).
March 11th, 2022 at 12:44 pm
The $SPX continues to cling to the 4200 price support level. I think it’s fingers are getting tired and are about to slip off. Perhaps some hot shot will come up with a wildly bullish “story” and we’ll see price bounce back to the downtrendline first…….or the short sellers will take control and drive price down to the 3600 area.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p33941528022&a=939923011
March 11th, 2022 at 12:58 pm
The Nasdaq CompQ chart shows just how overbought this Index got and where it is now. As always draw your own conclusions.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24COMPQ&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p57434976490&a=1092908250
March 11th, 2022 at 4:20 pm
Ron/BC,
Re #3: On your $SPX chart, I see possible support at the 3950 to 4000 area, then the 3723 low from March 2021. Maybe this is being too nit picky.
March 11th, 2022 at 6:27 pm
Rob/BC
Would be nice to see Fibs on those as always superb charts.
March 11th, 2022 at 6:51 pm
Dutchcanuck
Here are the two Indexes with Fibs on them………
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p33941528022&a=939923011
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=D&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p33941528022&a=939923011
March 11th, 2022 at 6:56 pm
Paula
Well with those Oscillators showing positive divergences I would be hesitant to short this market as one piece of good news would cause a lot of short covering at the 4200 level plus buying and blow your nylons off…………………..They love to do that,lol.
March 12th, 2022 at 11:19 am
Dutchcanuck
Here is the Daily Compq & Weekly $SPX with fibs on them………
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24COMPQ&p=D&yr=2&mn=0&dy=0&id=p41697564184&a=1041803119
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24SPX&p=W&yr=20&mn=0&dy=0&id=p91123533216&a=673066405