Pre-opening Comments for Friday June 17th
Editor’s Note
Tech Talk will appear on Monday despite the U.S. holiday.
U.S. equity index futures were higher this morning. S&P 500 futures were up 34 points in pre-opening trade.
Volume in U.S. equity markets are expected to be higher than average. Today is quadruple witching day when September equity and index options and September equity and index futures record their last trade date.
Adobe dropped $17.18 to $347.90 despite reporting higher than consensus quarterly revenues and earnings. The company also lowered guidance.
US Steel added $1.08 to $20.66 after offering positive revenue and earnings guidance.
American Eagle Outfitters slipped $0.12 to 11.74 after B Riley downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral
EquityClock’s Daily Comment
Headline reads “Looking out for the cues that would suggest selling exhaustion in order to flip back to risk-on in the equity market”.
Following is the link:
http://www.equityclock.com/2022/06/16/stock-market-outlook-for-june-17-2022/
Observations
The U.S. Dollar Index and its related ETN moved significantly lower yesterday, the largest one day drop in over two years.
Gold, gold stocks and related ETFs responded with significant gains. ‘Tis the season for the sector to move higher!
Technical Notes for Yesterday
S&P 100 and NASDAQ 100 stocks moving below intermediate support extending an intermediate downtrend included BLK, CMCSA, MAR, WBA, ALL, AXP, AVGO, ADI, AMD, LRCX, MA, QCOM, NXPI, VRSN, PAYX, CHTR, KMI, EMR
ETFs moving below intermediate support extending an intermediate downtrend included XLY, CARZ, ITA, XBM.TO
TSX 60 stocks moving below intermediate support extending an intermediate downtrend included TRP, RY, NA, BNS, FM, BAM, CNQ, CTC.A, BIP/UN and POW.
Trader’s Corner
Equity Indices and Related ETFs
Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for June 16th 2022
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Commodities
Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for June 16th 2022
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Sectors
Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for June 16th 2021
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
All seasonality ratings are based on performance relative to the S&P 500 Index (except TSX)
Links from Valued Providers
Greg Schell says “Recession Data Is Arriving”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2hPcTLrpmZ0
Tom Bowley says “I’m calling the bottom”.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ajdiFHVjhtM
S&P 500 Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer dropped 4.00 to 2.00 yesterday, lowest level since March 2020. It remains extremely Oversold, but has yet to show signs of a short term bottom.
The long term Barometer dropped another 5.20 to 13.00 yesterday. It remains Oversold, but has yet to show signs of a short term bottom.
TSX Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer plunged 8.37 to 9.20 yesterday. It is extremely Oversold, but has yet to show signs of a short term bottom
The long term Barometer dropped 2.93 to 25.52 yesterday. It remains Oversold.
Disclaimer: Seasonality and technical ratings offered in this report and at
www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.
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June 17th, 2022 at 1:26 pm
The Canadian dollar has tested the 77 cent level a few times now and is presently trading well below that support level in the 76 cent area. Failure to re-clear 77 would suggest another selloff to much lower levels. Price can’t stay below 77 for much longer as it is already testing the May lows.
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24CDW&p=D&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&id=p15033841527&a=820900908
June 17th, 2022 at 1:35 pm
Here is the Dow which is presently testing important support at the Feb/2020 high which is also the Weekly 200ema. “IF” this can’t hold as support for at least a descent bounce then it is in serious trouble. Geez, there must be some B.S. financial story out there to bounce this dead duck………….
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=%24INDU&p=W&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&id=p42709040541&a=673066175