Pre-opening Comments for Thursday March 2nd 2023
U.S. equity index futures were lower this morning. S&P 500 futures were down 17 points in pre-opening trade.
Salesforce.com, A Dow Jones Industrial Average stock jumped $24.20 to $191.55 after the company offered positive guidance. In addition the company announced a $20 billion stock buyback program.
![clip_image001[1]](http://www.timingthemarket.ca/techtalk/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/clip_image0011-1.png "clip_image001[1]")
Splunk, a NASDAQ 100 stock dropped $3.48 to $99.00 despite reporting higher than consensus fourth quarter revenues and earnings. The company also lowered first quarter guidance.
![clip_image002[1]](http://www.timingthemarket.ca/techtalk/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/clip_image0021-1.png "clip_image002[1]")
Snowflake, a NASDAQ 100 stock plunged $10.70 to $143.00 after the company lowered its product outlook below consensus.
![clip_image003[1]](http://www.timingthemarket.ca/techtalk/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/clip_image0031-1.png "clip_image003[1]")
Okta, a NASDAQ 100 stock advanced $8.61 to $71.44 after the company reported higher than consensus fourth quarter revenues. The company also offered positive guidance.
![clip_image004[1]](http://www.timingthemarket.ca/techtalk/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/clip_image0041-1.png "clip_image004[1]")
EquityClock’s Daily Comment
Headline reads “While spreads become increasingly negative at the long end of the yield curve, the shorter-end has actually narrowed since the year began”.
http://www.equityclock.com/2023/03/01/stock-market-outlook-for-march-2-2023/
Technical Notes
Dow Jones Industrial Average moved below 32,573.43 completing a double top pattern.
Consumer Staples SPDRs $XLP move below $71.60 extending an intermediate downtrend.
Coca Cola $KO a Dow Jones Industrial Average stock moved below $58.88 extending an intermediate downtrend.
AT&T $T an S&P 100 stock moved below $18.70 completing a Head & Shoulders pattern.
Lowe’s $LOW an S&P 100 stock moved below intermediate support at $193.45 following release of fiscal fourth quarter results.
Keurig Dr. Pepper $KDP a NASDAQ 100 stock moved below $34.19 extending an intermediate downtrend.
KraftHeinz $KHC an S&P 100 stock moved below $38.68 setting an intermediate downtrend.
National Bank $NA.TO a TSX 60 stock moved above $101.96 and$101.99 to an all-time high extending an intermediate uptrend.
Gildan Activewear $GIL.TO a TSX 60 stock moved above $43.63 extending an intermediate uptrend.
Trader’s Corner
Equity Indices and Related ETFs
Daily Seasonal/Technical Equity Trends for March 1st 2023
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Commodities
Daily Seasonal/Technical Commodities Trends for March 1st 2023
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Sectors
Daily Seasonal/Technical Sector Trends for March 1st 2023
Green: Increase from previous day
Red: Decrease from previous day
Links offered by valued providers
Former Fed Governor: Likelihood of a recession is extremely high.
Former Fed Governor: Likelihood of a recession is extremely high – YouTube
Morgan Stanley’s Wilson: S&P 500 Could Fall About 20%
Morgan Stanley’s Wilson: S&P 500 Could Fall About 20% – YouTube
ISM Manufacturing number at 47.7 and Construction Spending (Both were less than consensus)
ISM Manufacturing number at 47.7 – YouTube
Is It Time For Gold? | Greg Schnell, CMT | Market Buzz (03.01.23)
Is It Time For Gold? | Greg Schnell, CMT | Market Buzz (03.01.23) – YouTube
Market Entering Period of Strong Seasonality | Julius de Kempenaer | Sector Spotlight (02.28.23)
Why March could ‘make or break’ stock-market sentiment with 2023 rally at crossroads
Published: March 1, 2023 at 1:19 p.m. ET By William Watts
Waiting for a seasonal low/initial buying opportunity in the S&P 500 and related equities/ETFs
Seasonal influences during the past 20 years on average have bottomed in mid-March. This year, that timeline corresponds closely to the next FOMC meeting announcement on March 22nd when the Fed Fund Rate is expected to increase by at least 25 basis points to 4.75%-5.00% and possibly by 50 basis points to 5.00%-5.25%.
Conclusion: Prepare for an important seasonal entry point to buy U.S. equities/ETFs in the second half of March: Develop a list of U.S. equities/ETFs that have favourable technical and seasonal parameters for a trade lasting at least until summer and possibly to the end of the year. Meanwhile, be patient!
S&P 500 Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer dropped another 1.00 to 42.40. It remains Neutral. Trend remains down.
The long term Barometer dropped another 1.60 to 56.20. It remains Neutral. Trend remains down.
TSX Momentum Barometers
The intermediate term Barometer added 2.13 to 52.77. It remains Neutral.
![clip_image019[1]](http://www.timingthemarket.ca/techtalk/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/clip_image0191.png "clip_image019[1]")
The long term Barometer dropped 1.60 to 56.20. It remains Neutral. Trend remains down.
Disclaimer: Seasonality ratings and technical ratings offered in this report and at
www.equityclock.com are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered in this report is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed
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March 2nd, 2023 at 10:59 am
CNQ Approves a 6% increase to the quarterly dividend to $0.90 per common share, from $0.85 per common share, payable on April 5, 2023, to shareholders of record on March 17, 2023.